Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-07-28 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–4 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 61.33%1.63fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.00%61.31%61.43%62.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.09%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 38.67%2.59fair odd
EV -0.620%
Edge -0.241%
Kelly -0.395%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%38.69%38.57%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.462.452.5742.02%40.69%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 61.33%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 38.67%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.57, with an expected value of -0.620%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.78%E -0.701%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 22:39
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 19:45
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.48%E -1.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.01%E -0.393%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 15:59
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.01%E -0.393%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.78%E -0.701%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.78%E -0.701%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 18:40
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 19:39
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:39
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 12:44
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -0.620%E -0.241%K -0.395%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 19:35
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.17%E -0.856%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 21:39
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 20:44
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 19:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 19:44
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 06:19
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 19:44
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 22:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 23:35
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 23:40
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 02:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 06:54
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 19:14
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:38
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:38
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.94%E -3.19%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.94%E -3.19%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.94%E -3.19%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.94%E -3.19%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.55%E -3.60%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.55%E -3.60%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 19:44
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:29
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:29
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.39%E -4.89%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.00%E -5.34%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 22:33
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.00%E -5.34%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-07-28 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-28 22:39
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 16:45
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 11:10
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-07-28 22:40
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-28 22:29

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