Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-07-28 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–4 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 61.33%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.00%61.31%61.43%62.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.09%64.10%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 38.67%2.59momio equitativo
EV -0.620%
Ventaja -0.241%
Kelly -0.395%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.78%38.69%38.57%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.462.452.5742.02%40.69%40.82%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 61.33%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 38.67%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.59. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.57, con un valor esperado de -0.620%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.78%E -0.701%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 22:39
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 19:45
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.48%E -1.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.01%E -0.393%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 15:59
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.01%E -0.393%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.78%E -0.701%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.78%E -0.701%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 18:40
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 19:39
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:39
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 12:44
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -0.620%E -0.241%K -0.395%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 19:35
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.17%E -0.856%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 21:39
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 20:44
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 19:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 19:44
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 06:19
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 19:44
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 22:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.71%E -2.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 23:35
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 23:40
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 02:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.33%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 06:54
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 19:14
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:38
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:38
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:39
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.94%E -3.19%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.94%E -3.19%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.94%E -3.19%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.94%E -3.19%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.55%E -3.60%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.55%E -3.60%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 19:44
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:29
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:29
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.39%E -4.89%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.97%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.00%E -5.34%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 22:33
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.00%E -5.34%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-07-28 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-28 22:39
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 16:45
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 11:10
ProphetX◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-07-28 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-28 22:29