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Tampa Bay Rays v San Diego Padres

2026-08-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 54.38%1.84fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.45%54.32%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.751.8059.17%57.15%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 45.62%2.19fair odd
EV -0.556%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.471%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.55%45.68%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.62%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 54.38%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 45.62%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.18, with an expected value of -0.556%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.11%E -1.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.92%E -0.895%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.11%E -1.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.92%E -0.895%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 22:01
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.65%E -1.48%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.01%E -0.466%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-27 20:06
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.556%E -0.255%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 23:25
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.01%E -0.466%K -0.865%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.47%E -0.680%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-27 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.47%E -0.680%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-27 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 22:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 23:15
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 19:54
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.29%E -2.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.66%E -2.23%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 21:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.92%E -0.895%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-27 23:28
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.75%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 20:01
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 20:53
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 20:01
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 21:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 20:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:05
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.00%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.92%E -0.895%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.09%E -4.79%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-28 00:40
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-27 21:01
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-08-28 00:40
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%10.0%2026-08-27 21:01