Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v San Diego Padres

2026-08-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 54.37%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.44%54.40%54.31%55.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.761.761.8059.17%56.94%56.82%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 45.63%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.527%
Ventaja -0.242%
Kelly -0.446%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%45.60%45.69%46.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.092.102.1850.76%47.95%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 54.37%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 45.63%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.19. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.18, con un valor esperado de -0.527%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.13%E -1.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.90%E -0.882%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.13%E -1.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.90%E -0.882%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 22:01
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.983%E -0.453%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-27 20:06
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.55%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.55%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.55%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.55%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 01:10
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.527%E -0.242%K -0.446%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 23:25
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.983%E -0.453%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.44%E -0.666%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-27 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.44%E -0.666%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-27 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:10
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:10
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:10
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 01:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.72%E -1.76%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 22:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 23:15
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 19:54
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.63%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.83%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.83%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 01:10
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.72%E -1.76%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 20:01
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 01:15
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.09%E -2.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 20:53
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.09%E -2.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.55%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 20:01
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 19:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:01
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 21:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 20:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:05
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 01:15
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -10.11%E -5.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.11%E -4.80%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-08-28 01:15
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-27 21:01
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.3%2026-08-28 01:26
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-08-28 01:25
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%10.0%2026-08-27 21:01