The School of Odds
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Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

2026-10-03 22:31 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 54.90%1.82fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.89%54.93%54.98%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.721.7862.50%58.06%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.07%45.02%46.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.112.122.1853.48%47.38%47.28%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 54.90%; New York Yankees (Visit): 45.10%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.18, with an expected value of -1.67%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.67%E -0.768%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-01 06:08
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 03:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 03:54
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 06:04
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-01 04:05
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:40
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 06:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.93%E -2.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 05:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-01 03:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-01 03:40
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.93%E -1.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 04:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 03:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.03%E -2.91%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-01 03:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.03%E -2.91%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-01 03:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.03%E -2.91%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.83%E -2.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 06:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.91%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 04:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.91%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 03:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.91%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 03:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.03%E -2.91%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 03:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.03%E -2.91%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.64%E -3.21%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 03:34
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.19%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.28%E -2.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 03:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.58%E -3.24%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 03:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 04:10
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 03:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 03:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 03:45
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.13%E -3.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.38%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.38%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 03:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.68%E -3.93%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-01 06:04
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.22%E -4.28%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 03:25
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-01 03:34
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-01 03:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.87%E -5.34%K -13.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.70%E -5.40%K -10.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-01 03:35
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -6.64%E -3.21%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.89%EV -12.17%E -7.60%K -20.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.11%EV -15.66%E -8.37%K -18.00%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-01 03:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-10-01 07:00
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%10.1%2026-10-01 03:35
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%10.2%2026-10-01 07:00