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Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

2026-10-03 22:31 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 54.96%1.82momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.89%54.99%54.99%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.721.721.7862.50%58.04%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 45.04%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.831%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.01%45.01%46.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.112.122.1853.48%47.34%47.28%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 54.96%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 45.04%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.22. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.18, con un valor esperado de -1.81%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.81%E -0.831%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-01 06:08
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.72%E -1.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 03:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.72%E -1.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 03:54
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 06:04
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.61%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-01 04:05
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 03:40
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 06:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.31%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 05:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.37%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-01 03:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.37%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-01 03:40
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.37%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.06%E -1.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 04:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.37%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 03:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-01 03:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-01 03:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.96%E -2.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 06:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 04:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 03:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 03:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 03:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.77%E -3.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 03:34
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.61%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 03:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 07:28
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 03:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 04:10
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 03:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 03:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 03:45
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.61%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.57%E -3.86%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.57%E -3.86%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 03:40
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.12%E -4.21%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 03:25
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-01 03:34
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-01 03:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.77%E -5.28%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.82%E -5.46%K -11.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-01 03:35
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -6.77%E -3.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.89%EV -12.07%E -7.54%K -20.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.11%EV -15.77%E -8.44%K -18.13%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-01 03:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-10-01 07:00
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%9.7%2026-10-01 07:35
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%10.1%2026-10-01 03:35