Language:English
Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 39.22%2.55fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.760%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%39.15%39.21%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.452.6042.55%40.54%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 60.78%1.65fair odd
EV -0.932%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.00%60.85%60.79%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.561.6367.11%64.32%64.10%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 39.22%; New York Yankees (Visit): 60.78%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +1.98%E +0.760%K +1.24%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.769%E -0.304%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.16%E -0.461%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.16%E -0.461%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.55%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -0.932%E -0.572%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 20:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 20:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 20:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 21:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.69%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.69%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 20:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.69%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 20:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.40%E -4.16%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 21:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 21:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |