Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-04-11 22:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 39.22%2.55momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.760%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.19%39.15%39.21%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.472.452.6042.55%40.54%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 60.78%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.932%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.00%60.85%60.79%62.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.551.561.6367.11%64.32%64.10%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 39.22%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 60.78%. Para Tampa Bay Rays (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.55. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.98%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +1.98%E +0.760%K +1.24%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 22:05
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:09
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:04
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:05
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.769%E -0.304%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.16%E -0.461%K -0.764%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.16%E -0.461%K -0.764%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 21:54
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.55%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 22:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:20
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 22:10
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-11 21:54
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 22:10
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -0.932%E -0.572%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 20:24
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 20:34
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:34
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:40
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:40
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:40
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:34
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.91%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:45
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:09
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:03
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.69%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.69%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:49
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.69%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:45
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:44
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:59
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 20:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:25
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 20:44
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 20:44
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.40%E -4.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 22:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-04-11 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-04-11 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-04-11 22:09
Novig2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34%0.6%2026-04-11 22:09
ProphetX2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-04-11 22:10
BetOpenly2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-04-11 21:54
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-11 21:10
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-11 21:55
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-04-11 22:10
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-04-11 22:10