The School of Odds

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 3–0 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 52.14%1.92fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.68%52.14%52.22%54.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.8957.80%55.09%54.95%52.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.77%47.86%47.78%49.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.0654.05%50.20%50.00%48.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.45%E -0.767%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:00
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.45%E -0.767%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.85%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 22:25
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 22:14
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:39
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:39
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.89%E -0.924%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 22:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 22:40
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 16:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.06%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 22:03
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.06%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.81%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:05
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 22:40
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 13:50
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 21:40
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:10
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 19:44
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 19:45
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 22:39
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 20:10
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 20:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:09
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 22:39
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.77%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 16:50
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.77%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 21:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.77%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:39
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.62%E -3.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:54
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.62%E -3.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 22:30
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 20:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:28
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:40
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.07%E -4.77%K -10.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 22:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.47%E -6.20%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-08 22:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.47%E -6.20%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-08 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:12
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.71%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 22:40
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.71%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 22:40
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.20%E -3.16%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.07%E -4.77%K -10.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 22:40
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -1.89%E -0.924%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-08 20:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-08 14:15
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-08 22:35
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-08 22:40
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-07-08 22:39
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 52.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%11.4%2026-07-08 22:40