La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-07-08 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 3–0 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 52.14%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.767%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.68%52.14%52.22%54.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.821.821.8957.80%55.09%54.95%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 47.86%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.687%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.77%47.86%47.78%49.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.992.002.0654.05%50.20%50.00%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.45%E -0.767%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:00
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.45%E -0.767%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.85%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 22:25
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 22:14
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:39
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:39
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.89%E -0.924%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 22:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 22:40
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 16:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.06%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 22:03
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.06%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.81%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:05
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 22:40
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 13:50
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 21:40
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:10
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 19:44
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 19:45
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 22:39
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 20:10
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 20:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:09
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 22:39
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.77%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 16:50
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.77%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 21:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.77%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:39
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.62%E -3.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:54
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.62%E -3.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 22:30
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 14:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 20:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:28
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:40
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.07%E -4.77%K -10.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 22:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.47%E -6.20%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-08 22:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.47%E -6.20%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-08 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.66%E -3.72%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:12
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.71%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 22:40
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.71%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 22:40
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.20%E -3.16%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.07%E -4.77%K -10.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 22:40
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -1.89%E -0.924%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-08 20:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-08 14:15
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-08 22:35
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-08 22:40
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-07-08 22:39
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 52.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%11.4%2026-07-08 22:40