L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 17:45 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 5–4 New York Yankees

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 44.30%2.26cote équitable
EV +1.89%
Avantage +0.822%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%44.22%44.40%45.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.162.3050.00%46.12%46.30%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.70%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.297%
Avantage -0.166%
Kelly -0.376%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.57%55.78%55.60%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.701.701.7962.11%58.98%58.82%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.89%E +0.822%K +1.45%G +0.027%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:29
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.325%E -0.144%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.21%E -0.543%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 17:05
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.21%E -0.543%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.65%E -0.745%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:39
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.10%E -0.949%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 17:20
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.10%E -0.949%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 17:33
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.41%E -0.797%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 17:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.41%E -0.797%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 17:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:34
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 15:10
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:39
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 16:20
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.43%E -1.57%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 16:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.43%E -1.57%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 16:55
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.297%E -0.166%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:39
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:40
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.297%E -0.166%K -0.376%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 17:39
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:40
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.297%E -0.166%K -0.376%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.297%E -0.166%K -0.376%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:39
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 15:45
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 15:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 15:44
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 15:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:39
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:32
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -9.21%E -5.65%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 17:40
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -5.20%E -2.43%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:40
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.64%E -2.65%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 17:39
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.08%E -2.87%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:39
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.08%E -2.87%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.08%E -2.87%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 17:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:39
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:39
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.40%E -5.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.27I 44.05%NM 44.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.77%-0.4%2026-04-12 17:39
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%-0.1%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-12 17:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-12 17:40
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-04-12 17:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%5.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.89%11.1%2026-04-12 17:40