La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-04-12 17:45 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 5–4 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 44.30%2.26momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.822%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%44.22%44.40%45.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.162.3050.00%46.12%46.30%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 55.70%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.297%
Ventaja -0.166%
Kelly -0.376%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.57%55.78%55.60%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.701.701.7962.11%58.98%58.82%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.89%E +0.822%K +1.45%G +0.027%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:29
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.325%E -0.144%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.21%E -0.543%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 17:05
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.21%E -0.543%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.65%E -0.745%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:39
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.10%E -0.949%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 17:20
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.10%E -0.949%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 17:33
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.41%E -0.797%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 17:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.41%E -0.797%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 17:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:34
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 15:10
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:39
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 16:20
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.43%E -1.57%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 16:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.43%E -1.57%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 16:55
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.297%E -0.166%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:39
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:40
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -0.297%E -0.166%K -0.376%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 17:39
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:40
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.297%E -0.166%K -0.376%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.297%E -0.166%K -0.376%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:39
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 15:45
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 15:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 15:44
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 15:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:39
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:32
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -9.21%E -5.65%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 17:40
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -5.20%E -2.43%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:40
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.64%E -2.65%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 17:39
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.08%E -2.87%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:39
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.08%E -2.87%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.08%E -2.87%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 17:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:39
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:39
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.40%E -5.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.27I 44.05%NM 44.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.77%-0.4%2026-04-12 17:39
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%-0.1%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-12 17:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-12 17:40
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-04-12 17:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%5.3%2026-04-12 17:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.89%11.1%2026-04-12 17:40