Language:English
Tampa Bay Rays v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 55.39%1.81fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%55.70%55.26%58.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.701.711.7863.69%58.96%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV +0.375%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.300%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.78%44.30%44.74%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.33%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 55.39%; New York Mets (Visit): 44.61%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.375%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 20:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.16%E -5.59%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.518%E -0.232%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.16%E -5.59%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.518%E -0.232%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.16%E -5.59%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.518%E -0.232%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -0.518%E -0.232%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.41%E -0.791%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -13.04%E -8.31%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.19%E -1.47%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.19%E -1.47%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -3.19%E -1.47%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.95%E -4.13%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.95%E -4.13%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.93%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 22:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 55.12% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.88% | -1.4% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 17:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.52% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |