Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Mets

Início: 2026-09-01 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 6–2 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 55.39%1.81odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.791%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.64%55.70%55.26%58.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.701.711.7863.69%58.96%58.48%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 44.61%2.24odd justa
EV +0.375%
Vantagem +0.167%
Kelly +0.300%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.78%44.30%44.74%45.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.33%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 55.39%; New York Mets (Visitante): 44.61%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.24. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.375%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001%1.9%2026-09-01 20:09
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.375%E +0.167%K +0.300%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.16%E -5.59%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.518%E -0.232%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.16%E -5.59%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.518%E -0.232%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.16%E -5.59%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.518%E -0.232%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -0.518%E -0.232%K -0.421%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 22:40
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 21:54
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.86%E -0.844%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 22:40
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-01 22:35
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.41%E -0.791%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -13.04%E -8.31%K -22.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.19%E -1.47%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 22:30
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.19%E -1.47%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:25
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -3.19%E -1.47%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 22:39
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -6.95%E -4.13%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 22:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 20:30
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:39
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:35
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:44
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.82%E -6.72%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 21:59
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:14
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:39
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:35
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 21:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:29
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:28
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.95%E -4.13%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.10%E -3.93%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 22:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.84I 54.35%NM 55.12%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.88%-1.4%2026-09-01 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-09-01 22:40
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-09-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-01 22:40
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-01 17:29
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-09-01 22:35
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-09-01 22:40
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-09-01 22:40
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.52%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%10.5%2026-09-01 22:40