Language:English
Tampa Bay Rays v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 62.75%1.59fair odd
EV -0.223%
Edge -0.140%
Kelly -0.378%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%62.59%62.78%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5969.44%66.09%66.23%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 37.25%2.68fair odd
EV +0.567%
Edge +0.210%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%37.41%37.22%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.7042.55%39.27%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 62.75%; New York Mets (Visit): 37.25%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.567%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -2.11%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV +0.567%E +0.210%K +0.334%G +0.002% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV +0.567%E +0.210%K +0.334%G +0.002% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV +0.567%E +0.210%K +0.334%G +0.002% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.550%E -0.206%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.923%E -0.347%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.923%E -0.347%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.30%E -0.489%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.11%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.11%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.41%E -0.921%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.41%E -0.921%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 20:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.79%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.11%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 22:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.90%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 19:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -5.77%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.01%E -6.21%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.13%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -8.37%E -3.40%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 22:37 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.01%E -6.21%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.79%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.21%EV -10.23%E -4.25%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.223%E -0.140%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -7.13%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |