默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Mets

开赛时间： 2026-08-31 22:41 UTC

最终结果： Tampa Bay Rays 2–3 New York Mets

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

63%

37%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Rays (主队)

预测 62.75%1.59公平赔率

EV -0.223%

优势 -0.140%

Kelly -0.378%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布

60.15%62.59%62.78%64.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.441.511.511.5969.44%66.09%66.23%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 37.25%2.68公平赔率

EV +0.567%

优势 +0.210%

Kelly +0.334%

增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布

35.47%37.41%37.22%39.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.352.552.552.7042.55%39.27%39.22%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tampa Bay Rays (主队)：62.75%；New York Mets (客队)：37.25%。对于“New York Mets (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.68。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.70，对应+0.567%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -2.11%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV +0.567%E +0.210%K +0.334%G +0.002%	1.1%	2026-08-31 22:30
FanDuel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV +0.567%E +0.210%K +0.334%G +0.002%	2.0%	2026-08-31 20:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV +0.567%E +0.210%K +0.334%G +0.002%	2.8%	2026-08-31 20:55
Caesars🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.550%E -0.206%K -0.330%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-31 22:34
LowVig.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.923%E -0.347%K -0.556%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-31 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.923%E -0.347%K -0.556%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-31 22:34
Fliff🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.30%E -0.489%K -0.785%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-31 22:35
1xBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.11%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-31 22:10
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.67%E -0.632%K -1.02%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-31 22:40
Pinnacle🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.11%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-31 22:35
BetAnything🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-31 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.50%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.04%E -0.776%K -1.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-31 22:40
SportsBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.41%E -0.921%K -1.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-31 20:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.90%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.41%E -0.921%K -1.49%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-31 20:49
GTbets🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.79%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-31 22:39
Everygame🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.11%E -1.35%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-31 22:38
Bet Right🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-31 22:34
betPARX🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-31 22:30
William Hill🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 20:50
Coolbet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 20:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 22:40
Bovada🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-31 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.90%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-31 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -2.98%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 22:10
BetUS🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.48%E -0.941%K -2.59%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
PlayUp🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-31 19:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-31 22:38
Betr (AU)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-31 22:39
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:35
Casumo🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
Unibet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
NordicBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.50%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -5.77%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
TAB🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-31 22:40
betfred_uk🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-31 19:20
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-31 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-31 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-31 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-31 22:25
Grosvenor🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-31 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.50%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.01%E -6.21%K -20.02%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 22:30
TABtouch🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-31 22:40
BetRivers🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -7.75%E -5.27%K -16.50%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.63%E -3.08%K -5.15%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-31 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.13%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -8.37%E -3.40%K -5.73%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-31 22:37
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 22:35
Neds🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 22:34
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-31 22:40
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-31 22:40
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 22:33
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.01%E -6.21%K -20.02%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-08-31 22:40
ReBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.79%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 38.21%EV -10.23%E -4.25%K -7.26%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.223%E -0.140%K -0.378%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -10.61%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -7.13%E -4.81%K -14.84%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -12.47%E -5.31%K -9.24%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-31 22:40

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
ProphetX◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%	0.5%	2026-08-31 22:30
Novig◎	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%	1.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
Kalshi◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%	1.1%	2026-08-31 22:30
Polymarket◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%	1.1%	2026-08-31 22:20
Smarkets◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%	1.4%	2026-08-31 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%	1.4%	2026-08-31 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%	1.4%	2026-08-31 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%	1.4%	2026-08-31 22:40
Matchbook◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%	1.7%	2026-08-31 22:40
BetOpenly◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%	3.4%	2026-08-31 22:30

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Mets

胜负盘

Tampa Bay Rays (主队)

New York Mets (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)