The School of Odds

Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-25 22:11 UTC — MLB

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 55.19%1.81fair odd
EV -0.653%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%55.25%55.22%56.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.731.8061%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 44.81%2.23fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.75%44.78%45.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.112.2050%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.653%E -0.363%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 18:25
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.42%E -0.647%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 20:25
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.32%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-24 20:25
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.32%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-24 20:25
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 19:05
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 20:24
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 19:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 20:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 18:10
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.11%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 18:50
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 18:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:05
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:49
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 20:25
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 19:05
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.07%E -2.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.42%E -0.647%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 19:25
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 19:04
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.14%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.38%E -5.05%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-24 18:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-24 18:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%4.1%2026-07-24 20:30
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-24 19:05