Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 22:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 3–0 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 52.43%1.91fair odd
EV +0.144%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.158%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.92%52.48%52.55%54.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.9158.82%54.82%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 47.57%2.10fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.38%47.52%47.45%49.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.981.962.0752.91%50.53%51.02%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 52.43%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 47.57%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.907. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.910, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.144%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.144%E +0.075%K +0.158%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.144%E +0.075%K +0.158%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 21:55
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.144%E +0.075%K +0.158%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 21:55
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.144%E +0.075%K +0.158%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 21:54
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -0.381%E -0.200%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -3.44%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 22:05
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.381%E -0.200%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.43%E -0.760%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 22:05
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 13:35
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 22:00
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 22:05
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:00
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:00
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:05
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:09
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.53%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 13:35
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.14%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -3.44%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:10
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 21:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.19%E -4.24%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.15%E -3.43%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.19%E -4.24%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -10.10%E -5.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.72%E -4.39%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 22:00
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 21:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.77%E -5.04%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -9.82%E -5.71%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -1.53%E -0.740%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-07-25 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-25 22:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-25 15:50
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-25 22:10
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-25 22:10
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-07-25 22:08
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-25 22:10
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%7.0%2026-07-25 22:10

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