La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-07-25 22:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 52.43%1.91momio equitativo
EV +0.144%
Ventaja +0.075%
Kelly +0.158%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.92%52.48%52.55%54.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.821.831.9158.82%54.82%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 47.57%2.10momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.38%47.52%47.45%49.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.891.981.962.0752.91%50.53%51.02%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.144%E +0.075%K +0.158%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.144%E +0.075%K +0.158%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 21:55
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.144%E +0.075%K +0.158%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 21:55
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.144%E +0.075%K +0.158%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 21:54
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -0.381%E -0.200%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -3.44%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 22:05
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.381%E -0.200%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 21:25
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.43%E -0.760%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 22:05
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 13:35
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 22:00
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 22:05
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 21:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:00
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:00
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:09
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:05
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:00
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:08
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.53%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 22:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 21:15
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 13:35
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.14%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:10
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 21:15
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -3.44%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 22:10
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 21:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 13:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 22:10
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 22:10
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.19%E -4.24%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 22:10
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.15%E -3.43%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.19%E -4.24%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -10.10%E -5.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.72%E -4.39%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 22:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 22:00
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 21:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.77%E -5.04%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 22:10
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -9.82%E -5.71%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -1.53%E -0.740%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-07-25 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-25 22:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-25 15:50
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-25 22:10
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-25 22:10
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-07-25 22:08
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-25 22:10
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%7.0%2026-07-25 22:10