Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 22:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 51.58%1.94fair odd
EV -0.454%
Edge -0.235%
Kelly -0.488%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.53%51.57%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.831.9356.18%54.13%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 48.42%2.07fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.47%48.43%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.982.002.0452.63%50.59%50.00%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 51.58%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 48.42%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -0.454%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-07 22:15
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 22:35
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 22:35
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.49%E -0.778%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.49%E -0.778%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:24
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.00%E -1.05%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 22:25
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.22%E -0.598%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-07 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 22:25
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:24
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.19%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.67%E -1.33%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 22:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.03%E -3.66%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 18:55
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:10
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:55
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 20:19
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 20:14
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.19%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 19:40
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 22:09
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 21:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 19:54
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 19:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.64%E -3.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 19:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.55%E -3.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%0.0%2026-04-07 22:34
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-07 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-07 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-07 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-07 22:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-04-07 22:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-04-07 22:40