Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-04-07 22:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 51.58%1.94odd justa
EV -0.454%
Vantagem -0.235%
Kelly -0.488%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.53%51.57%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.851.831.9356.18%54.13%54.64%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 48.42%2.07odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.598%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.47%48.43%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.982.002.0452.63%50.59%50.00%49.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 51.58%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 48.42%. Para Tampa Bay Rays (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.94. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.93, com valor esperado de -0.454%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-07 22:15
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 22:35
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.454%E -0.235%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 22:35
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.49%E -0.778%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.49%E -0.778%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:24
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.00%E -1.05%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 22:25
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.22%E -0.598%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-07 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 22:25
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:24
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.19%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.67%E -1.33%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 22:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.03%E -3.66%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 18:55
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:10
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:55
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 20:19
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 19:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 20:14
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.19%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 19:40
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 22:09
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 21:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 19:54
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 19:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.64%E -3.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 19:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.55%E -3.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%0.0%2026-04-07 22:34
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-07 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-07 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-07 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-07 22:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-04-07 22:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-04-07 22:40