Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-06-08 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 3–1 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 49.77%2.01fair odd
EV +0.540%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.529%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.78%49.74%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.912.0254.05%52.15%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 50.23%1.99fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%50.22%50.26%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.911.9754.64%52.61%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 49.77%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 50.23%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.540%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV +0.540%E +0.267%K +0.529%G +0.003%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-08 22:09
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.455%E -0.228%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-08 22:29
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.45%E -0.733%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.45%E -0.733%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.45%E -0.733%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 21:59
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.45%E -1.25%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-08 19:48
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-08 16:49
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-08 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-08 13:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.07%E -2.68%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 21:59
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 21:29
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.05%E -0.534%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.05%E -0.534%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:39
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.05%E -0.534%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-08 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 21:59
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.07%E -2.68%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 21:59
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 21:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 22:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 21:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 22:29
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 21:33
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 20:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.07%E -3.25%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.07%E -3.25%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 14:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 20:18
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 21:40
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.93%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.93%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-08 22:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.58%E -4.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-08 17:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-08 22:40
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-06-08 22:40
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%1.6%2026-06-08 22:39
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-06-08 22:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-06-08 22:40
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%2.9%2026-06-08 22:40