La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-08 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 3–1 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 49.77%2.01momio equitativo
EV +0.540%
Ventaja +0.267%
Kelly +0.529%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%49.78%49.74%51.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.921.912.0254.05%52.15%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 50.23%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.94%50.22%50.26%51.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.901.911.9754.64%52.61%52.36%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV +0.540%E +0.267%K +0.529%G +0.003%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-08 22:09
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.455%E -0.228%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-08 22:29
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.45%E -0.733%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Everygame1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.45%E -0.733%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 15:39
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.45%E -0.733%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 21:59
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.45%E -1.25%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-08 19:48
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-08 16:49
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-08 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-08 13:49
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.07%E -2.68%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 21:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 21:59
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 21:29
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 18:59
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.05%E -0.534%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.05%E -0.534%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:39
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.05%E -0.534%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:39
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-08 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 20:40
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 18:59
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 21:59
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.94%E -2.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:39
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.07%E -2.68%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 18:59
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 21:59
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 21:59
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 22:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 14:39
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 21:39
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 22:29
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 21:33
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 21:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 20:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.07%E -3.25%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 22:39
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.07%E -3.25%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 14:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 14:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 14:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 20:18
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 21:40
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 18:49
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:09
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:09
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 22:09
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 18:59
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.93%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:40
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.93%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-08 22:09
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.42%E -3.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.58%E -4.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:19
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-08 17:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-08 22:40
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-06-08 22:40
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%1.6%2026-06-08 22:39
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-06-08 22:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-06-08 22:40
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%2.9%2026-06-08 22:40