Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 2.52
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 60.11%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 39.89%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.516%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV +0.388%E +0.232%K +0.579%G +0.002% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 23:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%EV +0.516%E +0.205%K +0.339%G +0.002% | 1.4% | 2026-08-17 21:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-17 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-17 19:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 11:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 20:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 21:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%EV +0.516%E +0.205%K +0.339%G +0.002% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 21:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 20:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 12:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 21:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 21:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -8.66%E -3.78%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 21:53 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.06%E -3.97%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 21:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 21:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-17 21:55 |