Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-17 22:05 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 7–6 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 60.11%1.66odd justa
EV +0.388%
Vantagem +0.232%
Kelly +0.579%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.77%60.08%60.15%61.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.64%62.50%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 39.89%2.51odd justa
EV +0.516%
Vantagem +0.205%
Kelly +0.339%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.98%39.92%39.85%41.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.382.402.5243.86%41.93%41.67%39.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 60.11%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 39.89%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.51. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.52, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.516%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV +0.388%E +0.232%K +0.579%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 23:53
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 21:49
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 21:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.02%E -1.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 21:29
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%EV +0.516%E +0.205%K +0.339%G +0.002%1.4%2026-08-17 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.282%E -0.113%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-17 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.08%E -0.435%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 21:29
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 21:29
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 19:38
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 11:39
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 21:50
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 20:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 21:54
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 21:54
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%EV +0.516%E +0.205%K +0.339%G +0.002%1.8%2026-08-17 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 21:45
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 21:29
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 23:05
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 21:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 20:29
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 21:49
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 21:34
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:29
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:29
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:29
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:29
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 19:09
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 21:49
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 21:54
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 18:59
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 21:49
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.26%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 21:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 20:04
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 18:34
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 12:19
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 21:53
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 21:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -8.66%E -3.78%K -6.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 21:53
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.06%E -3.97%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 21:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-08-17 22:00
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-08-17 22:00
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-08-17 21:55
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-17 21:54
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-17 20:35
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-17 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-17 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-17 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-17 22:00
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-17 21:55