Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-09-15 23:45 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–10 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 61.86%1.62fair odd
EV -0.410%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.80%61.88%61.82%63.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.40%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -0.065%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.040%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%38.12%38.18%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.502.6243.48%40.46%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 61.86%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 38.14%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.622. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.620, with an expected value of -0.065%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.410%E -0.255%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -4.26%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:10
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.65%E -1.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 22:22
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.447%E -0.171%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.21%E -0.467%K -0.761%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.21%E -0.467%K -0.761%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 23:40
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 23:38
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.065%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:40
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:55
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:40
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 23:40
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:39
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 20:05
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.35%E -0.920%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.26%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 23:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.98%E -3.93%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -5.98%E -3.93%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 23:38
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.60%E -4.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.065%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 23:35
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 23:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -8.45%E -5.71%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-09-15 23:40
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-09-15 23:25
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-15 20:10
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-15 23:40
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-15 21:10