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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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St. Louis Cardinals v San Francisco Giants

Inicio: 2026-09-15 23:45 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–10 San Francisco Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 61.86%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.410%
Ventaja -0.255%
Kelly -0.672%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.80%61.88%61.82%63.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.40%64.52%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 38.14%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.065%
Ventaja -0.025%
Kelly -0.040%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.56%38.12%38.18%40.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.502.6243.48%40.46%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 61.86%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 38.14%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.622. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.620, con un valor esperado de -0.065%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.410%E -0.255%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -4.26%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:10
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.03%E -0.643%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:05
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.65%E -1.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 22:22
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.447%E -0.171%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.21%E -0.467%K -0.761%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.21%E -0.467%K -0.761%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 23:40
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 23:38
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.065%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:40
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:55
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:40
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.12%E -2.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 23:40
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:39
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -4.74%E -3.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 20:05
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.35%E -0.920%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.26%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 23:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.98%E -3.93%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -5.98%E -3.93%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 23:38
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.60%E -4.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.065%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 23:35
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 23:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -8.45%E -5.71%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-09-15 23:40
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-09-15 23:25
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-15 20:10
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-15 23:40
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-15 21:10