Language:English
St. Louis Cardinals v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV +0.500%
Edge +0.200%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%40.23%40.15%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.402.5045.45%41.94%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 59.80%1.67fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.806%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%59.77%59.85%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6564.94%62.88%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 40.20%; New York Mets (Visit): 59.80%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.500%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.500%E +0.200%K +0.334%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.91%E -5.14%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.11%E -0.450%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.53%E -1.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.72%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.33%E -0.806%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.72%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.12%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.33%E -0.806%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.33%E -0.806%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.12%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 18:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 18:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 18:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.12%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.56%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.91%E -5.14%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 18:15 |