La scuola delle quote

St. Louis Cardinals v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-04-01 18:17 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)

Previsione 40.20%2.49quota equa
EV +0.500%
Vantaggio +0.200%
Kelly +0.334%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.12%40.23%40.15%41.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.382.402.5045.45%41.94%41.67%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.80%1.67quota equa
EV -1.33%
Vantaggio -0.806%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.82%59.77%59.85%61.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.591.591.6564.94%62.88%62.89%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.500%E +0.200%K +0.334%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.91%E -5.14%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 18:15
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.11%E -0.450%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.53%E -1.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 18:14
GTbets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.72%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.33%E -0.806%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 18:14
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.72%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.12%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 18:14
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.33%E -0.806%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 18:14
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.33%E -0.806%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 18:15
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.12%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 18:15
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 18:13
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 18:15
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 18:13
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:15
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 18:15
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 18:15
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:14
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:15
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:15
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:15
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:15
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:14
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:14
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:15
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:14
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:13
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 18:15
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 18:14
SportsBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:15
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:15
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 18:15
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 18:14
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 18:15
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 18:15
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 18:14
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:14
DraftKings2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.12%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:15
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 18:15
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 18:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.56%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.91%E -5.14%K -14.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-01 18:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-01 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-01 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-01 18:15
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-04-01 18:14
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-01 18:15
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-04-01 18:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%9.2%2026-04-01 18:15