The School of Odds

St. Louis Cardinals v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–4 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 34.50%2.90fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +0.713%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.42%34.93%34.52%38.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.452.742.752.9640.82%36.44%36.36%33.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 65.50%1.53fair odd
EV +0.875%
Edge +0.568%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%65.07%65.48%67.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5471.43%68.39%68.03%64.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV +2.11%E +0.713%K +1.08%G +0.023%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 18:07
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV +0.730%E +0.250%K +0.380%G +0.003%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV +0.730%E +0.250%K +0.380%G +0.003%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 18:10
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 18:05
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 18:09
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 18:15
GTbets2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.304%E -0.105%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 18:10
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.649%E -0.225%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 18:10
BetUS2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.34%E -0.468%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-07 18:05
SportsBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -1.34%E -0.468%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 18:09
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 18:05
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 18:09
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 18:14
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.03%E -0.715%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.75%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 17:25
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 18:10
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 17:20
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 17:19
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 17:24
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.30%E -5.93%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 17:54
MyBookie.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.10%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 17:24
Coolbet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.10%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 17:55
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 18:10
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 17:00
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 18:05
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:54
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:19
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:19
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:59
DraftKings2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -6.17%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 17:19
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:09
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:09
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 18:14
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.55%E -2.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.55%E -2.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 18:14
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -12.03%E -4.72%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +0.875%E +0.568%K +1.62%G +0.014%4.2%2026-07-07 18:15
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -0.435%E -0.286%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -0.435%E -0.286%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 18:15
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV +0.220%E +0.144%K +0.415%G +0.001%6.2%2026-07-07 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -0.435%E -0.286%K -0.837%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 18:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -1.75%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-07 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-07 18:05
BetOpenly3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-07-07 18:14
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%1.0%2026-07-07 18:15
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%1.6%2026-07-07 18:15
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-07-07 18:15
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%3.0%2026-07-07 18:09