L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 18:16 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 3–4 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 34.50%2.90cote équitable
EV +2.11%
Avantage +0.713%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.42%34.93%34.52%38.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.742.752.9640.82%36.44%36.36%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.50%1.53cote équitable
EV +0.875%
Avantage +0.568%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%65.07%65.48%67.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.471.5471.43%68.39%68.03%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV +2.11%E +0.713%K +1.08%G +0.023%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 18:07
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV +0.730%E +0.250%K +0.380%G +0.003%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV +0.730%E +0.250%K +0.380%G +0.003%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 18:10
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 18:05
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 18:09
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 18:15
GTbets2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.304%E -0.105%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 18:10
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.649%E -0.225%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 18:10
BetUS2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.34%E -0.468%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-07 18:05
SportsBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -1.34%E -0.468%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 18:09
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 18:05
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 18:09
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 18:14
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.03%E -0.715%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.75%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 17:25
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 18:10
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 17:20
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 17:19
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 17:24
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.30%E -5.93%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 17:54
MyBookie.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.10%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 17:24
Coolbet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.10%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 17:55
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 18:10
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 17:00
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 18:05
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:54
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:19
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:19
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:59
DraftKings2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -6.17%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 17:19
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:09
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:09
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 18:14
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.55%E -2.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.55%E -2.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:55
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 18:14
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -12.03%E -4.72%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +0.875%E +0.568%K +1.62%G +0.014%4.2%2026-07-07 18:15
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -0.435%E -0.286%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -0.435%E -0.286%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 18:15
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV +0.220%E +0.144%K +0.415%G +0.001%6.2%2026-07-07 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -0.435%E -0.286%K -0.837%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 18:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -1.75%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 18:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-07 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-07 18:05
BetOpenly3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-07-07 18:14
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%1.0%2026-07-07 18:15
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%1.6%2026-07-07 18:15
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-07-07 18:15
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%3.0%2026-07-07 18:09