Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Cincinnati Reds

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 00:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 10–3 Cincinnati Reds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 56.39%1.77fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%56.43%56.42%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.691.7560.61%59.07%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 43.61%2.29fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.444%
Kelly -0.794%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.57%43.58%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.202.202.2747.17%45.54%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 56.39%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 43.61%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.27, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.32%E -0.751%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 23:20
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.44%E -0.639%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-05 20:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-05 23:50
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.01%E -0.444%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 15:09
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.44%E -0.639%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.23%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-05 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 21:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 15:29
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 15:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.62%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 09:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 09:58
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 15:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 15:09
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.50%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 22:29
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.37%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 15:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-05 08:29
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 15:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.50%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 15:29
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.37%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 20:10
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.81%E -2.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.81%E -2.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:49
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:49
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:50
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 15:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 05:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 07:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 07:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 07:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 15:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.55%E -3.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 23:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-05 21:50
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-06 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:00
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-05 23:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-06 00:10
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-06-05 23:59
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-06-05 22:50