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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago White Sox

开赛时间： 2026-09-12 23:39 UTC

最终结果： St. Louis Cardinals 5–6 Chicago White Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 50.13%1.99公平赔率
EV -0.736%
优势 -0.371%
Kelly -0.751%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.68%50.19%50.00%51.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.901.911.9856.18%52.58%52.36%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago White Sox (客队)

预测 49.87%2.01公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -0.895%
Kelly -1.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布
48.65%49.81%50.00%51.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.901.901.9754.95%52.70%52.63%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：St. Louis Cardinals (主队)：50.13%；Chicago White Sox (客队)：49.87%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.99。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.98，期望值为-0.736%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.736%E -0.371%K -0.751%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.736%E -0.371%K -0.751%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 23:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:35
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:50
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:37
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -1.76%E -0.895%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 23:15
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 23:20
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 20:50
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:15
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:15
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 23:14
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 23:14
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 23:13
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.24%E -5.08%K -11.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -10.76%E -6.05%K -13.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -8.25%E -4.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 23:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-12 23:30
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-09-12 23:30
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-09-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%4.2%2026-09-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%4.2%2026-09-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%4.2%2026-09-12 23:35
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%4.5%2026-09-12 23:30
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%5.5%2026-09-12 23:29