Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago White Sox

Inizio: 2026-09-12 23:39 UTC

Finale: St. Louis Cardinals 5–6 Chicago White Sox

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

50%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)

Previsione 50.13%1.99quota equa

EV -0.736%

Vantaggio -0.371%

Kelly -0.751%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

48.68%50.19%50.00%51.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.781.901.911.9856.18%52.58%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.87%2.01quota equa

EV -1.76%

Vantaggio -0.895%

Kelly -1.82%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

48.65%49.81%50.00%51.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.821.901.901.9754.95%52.70%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: St. Louis Cardinals (Casa): 50.13%; Chicago White Sox (Trasferta): 49.87%. Per St. Louis Cardinals (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.99. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.98, con un valore atteso del -0.736%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.736%E -0.371%K -0.751%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-12 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.736%E -0.371%K -0.751%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-12 19:40
BetMGM🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 23:35
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:35
Bovada🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.10%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:59
Neds🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 23:35
FanDuel🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-12 19:40
DraftKings🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
Casumo🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
BetRivers🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
betPARX🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.24%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-12 19:54
Fanatics🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 20:50
Caesars🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-12 22:15
SportsBet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 19:37
Virgin Bet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -1.76%E -0.895%K -1.82%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 23:15
GTbets🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 23:20
Betway🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-12 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 19:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-12 20:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-12 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:15
Coolbet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:15
ReBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 23:14
Bet Victor🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-12 23:14
betano_uk🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-12 23:13
Grosvenor🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.24%E -5.08%K -11.27%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-09-12 22:20
LeoVegas🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-12 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.25%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-12 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -10.76%E -6.05%K -13.80%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -8.25%E -4.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-09-12 23:15

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Polymarket◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	1.1%	2026-09-12 23:30
Kalshi◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%	2.1%	2026-09-12 23:30
ProphetX◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%	2.1%	2026-09-12 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%	4.2%	2026-09-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%	4.2%	2026-09-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%	4.2%	2026-09-12 23:35
Smarkets◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:30
Matchbook◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%	5.5%	2026-09-12 23:29