Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago White Sox

2026-09-12 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 49.93%2.00momio equitativo
EV -0.143%
Ventaja -0.071%
Kelly -0.143%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.95%49.86%50.00%51.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.811.911.912.0055.25%52.40%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 50.07%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.949%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.56%50.14%50.00%51.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.861.911.911.9653.76%52.26%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 49.93%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 50.07%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.003. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.000, con un valor esperado de -0.143%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -0.143%E -0.071%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-12 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.14%E -0.576%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.14%E -0.576%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 19:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.14%E -0.576%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 19:40
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.14%E -0.576%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 20:25
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.64%E -0.833%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.21%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 19:39
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.64%E -0.833%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 20:07
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.21%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 16:18
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 20:19
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 20:15
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.37%E -3.40%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 20:05
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.14%E -1.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 19:54
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 16:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:50
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:35
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:15
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.37%E -2.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.86%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:55
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.86%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.87%E -3.69%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.63%E -3.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.40%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.86%E -0.949%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:15
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.36%E -1.21%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 19:55
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -9.63%E -5.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -6.37%E -3.40%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 19:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%0.0%2026-09-12 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-12 19:50
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-12 19:15
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%0.5%2026-09-12 20:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-12 20:25
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-12 19:35
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-09-12 20:25