Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.86
assuming max odds 2.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 53.57%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 46.43%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.154. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.150, with an expected value of -0.181%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.355%E -0.191%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.355%E -0.191%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -1.43%E -0.775%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 23:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 23:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 23:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.646%E -0.302%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-25 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.04%E -0.966%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-25 23:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-25 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.68%E -3.32%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 23:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-25 23:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 23:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.75%E -2.83%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.75%E -2.83%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.18%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.181%E -0.084%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.18%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.181%E -0.084%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 04:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.18%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 21:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.61%E -3.82%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 23:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.85%E -4.57%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.39%E -4.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.39%E -4.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 23:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 23:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.00%E -5.95%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-25 23:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-25 23:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 23:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 23:29 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 23:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 23:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-08-25 23:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 23:24 |