Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.82
assuming max odds 2.19
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 54.84%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 45.16%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.824. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.820, with an expected value of -0.195%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -0.195%E -0.107%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -6.06%E -2.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -1.29%E -0.717%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -6.97%E -3.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| Everygame | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.00%E -0.921%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:15 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.10%E -0.500%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.10%E -0.500%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.55%E -0.710%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.00%E -0.921%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.00%E -0.921%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:54 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.55%E -0.710%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 15:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 09:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.55%E -0.710%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 06:19 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:19 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.35%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 16:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:54 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.68%E -4.84%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.68%E -4.84%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 16:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.35%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.81%E -1.79%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:40 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:45 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 15:39 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 09:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 17:48 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 17:59 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 18:15 |
| BetOpenly | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 17:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 18:14 |