Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-07-12 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–4 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 54.84%1.82odd justa
EV -0.195%
Vantagem -0.107%
Kelly -0.237%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.26%54.75%54.88%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.751.751.8259.17%57.03%57.14%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 45.16%2.21odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.500%
Kelly -0.921%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.44%45.25%45.12%46.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.1950.00%47.64%47.62%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 54.84%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 45.16%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.824. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.820, com valor esperado de -0.195%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -0.195%E -0.107%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -6.06%E -2.92%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -1.29%E -0.717%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -6.97%E -3.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 18:14
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.00%E -0.921%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 18:05
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:14
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:14
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:14
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:15
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.10%E -0.500%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.10%E -0.500%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 18:05
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.55%E -0.710%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.00%E -0.921%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.00%E -0.921%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:54
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:54
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.55%E -0.710%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:24
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 15:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 09:29
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.55%E -0.710%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-12 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 06:19
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.48%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:19
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 15:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.35%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 16:34
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:49
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 18:09
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.68%E -4.84%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:49
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.03%E -2.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.68%E -4.84%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 18:14
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.35%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 18:14
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.81%E -1.79%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:40
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 18:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 16:44
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 18:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 15:39
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 09:39
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 18:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.87%E -3.86%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-12 18:14
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 17:15
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 17:59
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 18:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 18:05
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-12 18:15
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.8%2026-07-12 17:59
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-07-12 18:14