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Seattle Mariners v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 55.89%1.79fair odd
EV +0.607%
Edge +0.337%
Kelly +0.758%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%55.77%55.92%57.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.721.721.8060.24%58.14%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 44.11%2.27fair odd
EV +0.565%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.441%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.00%44.23%44.08%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.152.152.2849.50%46.41%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.89%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 44.11%. For Seattle Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.607%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.607%E +0.337%K +0.758%G +0.005% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.58%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +0.607%E +0.337%K +0.758%G +0.005% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -10.90%E -5.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -0.511%E -0.287%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -10.46%E -5.15%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -0.511%E -0.287%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -10.46%E -5.15%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.07%E -0.605%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.63%E -0.926%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.73%E -2.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.63%E -0.926%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.73%E -2.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.08%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 01:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.317%E -0.140%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.317%E -0.140%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 01:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.565%E +0.248%K +0.441%G +0.002% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 01:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.20%E -0.535%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.29%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 01:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.54%E -3.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.08%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.54%E -3.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.54%E -3.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.54%E -3.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 00:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -9.14%E -4.44%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.82%E -3.74%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 01:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |