Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-08-09 01:50 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 52.28%1.91momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.631%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%52.34%52.22%53.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.741.821.821.8957.47%54.89%54.95%52.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 47.72%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%47.66%47.78%48.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.002.002.0552.63%49.94%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Mariners (Local): 52.28%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 47.72%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.89, con un valor esperado de -1.19%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.19%E -0.631%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.65%E -1.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.71%E -0.912%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.13%E -1.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 01:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 21:05
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:00
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.65%E -1.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.65%E -1.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:45
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 21:15
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 01:55
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.65%E -1.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 02:00
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.08%E -2.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 21:15
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:50
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:50
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:50
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:50
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.37%E -2.97%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.13%E -1.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.37%E -2.97%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 18:50
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 01:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:50
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -7.99%E -4.54%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.38%E -4.36%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.51%E -4.86%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.90%E -4.09%K -8.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.03%E -5.19%K -12.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-07 21:35
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-08 00:10
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-08 02:20
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.06%3.5%2026-08-08 02:30
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%10.1%2026-08-07 18:45
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 52.21%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79%10.7%2026-08-08 02:30