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Seattle Mariners v Tampa Bay Rays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Predicción 55.89%1.79momio equitativo
EV +0.607%
Ventaja +0.337%
Kelly +0.758%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.88%55.77%55.92%57.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.721.721.8060.24%58.14%58.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)
Predicción 44.11%2.27momio equitativo
EV +0.565%
Ventaja +0.248%
Kelly +0.441%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.00%44.23%44.08%47.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.152.152.2849.50%46.41%46.51%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.89%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 44.11%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.79. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.607%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.607%E +0.337%K +0.758%G +0.005% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.58%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +0.607%E +0.337%K +0.758%G +0.005% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -10.90%E -5.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -0.511%E -0.287%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -10.46%E -5.15%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -0.511%E -0.287%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -10.46%E -5.15%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.07%E -0.605%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.63%E -0.926%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.73%E -2.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.63%E -0.926%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.73%E -2.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.08%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 01:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.317%E -0.140%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.317%E -0.140%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.61%E -2.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 01:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.565%E +0.248%K +0.441%G +0.002% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 01:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.758%E -0.337%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.20%E -0.535%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.96%E -1.35%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.42%E -2.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.29%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 01:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 01:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 01:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.54%E -3.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.08%E -0.938%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.54%E -3.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.54%E -3.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.54%E -3.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 00:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -9.14%E -4.44%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.82%E -3.74%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 01:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 01:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |