Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 2.48
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 59.32%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 40.68%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.894%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +0.894%E +0.361%K +0.604%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.080%E +0.033%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -0.733%E -0.301%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.733%E -0.301%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.733%E -0.301%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.14%E -0.469%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 23:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.95%E -0.811%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 23:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.02%E -2.61%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.24%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.87%E -3.96%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.941%E -0.563%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71% | -0.1% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |