مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants

البداية: 2026-07-19 00:09 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 4–3 San Francisco Giants

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.32%1.69السعر العادل
EV -0.941%
الأفضلية -0.563%
Kelly -1.40%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%59.25%59.34%61.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.02%62.11%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Francisco Giants (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.68%2.46السعر العادل
EV +0.894%
الأفضلية +0.361%
Kelly +0.604%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.77%40.75%40.66%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.342.352.4845.45%42.66%42.55%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +0.894%E +0.361%K +0.604%G +0.005%4.0%2026-07-18 23:35
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.080%E +0.033%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 23:55
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -0.733%E -0.301%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 23:25
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.733%E -0.301%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.733%E -0.301%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 23:55
Everygame1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.14%E -0.469%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 23:54
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.95%E -0.811%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 23:30
BetAnything1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 00:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 00:05
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-19 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 00:05
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 00:00
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 21:30
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 00:00
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 00:05
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 23:25
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 00:00
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 23:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 00:00
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 00:05
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 00:05
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 00:05
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 00:05
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 00:05
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:40
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 00:05
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 00:00
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 00:00
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 00:00
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 00:00
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 00:00
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 00:00
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 20:45
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 20:40
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 22:10
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 00:00
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 00:00
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.02%E -2.61%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 20:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 23:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 00:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 00:05
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.24%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 20:35
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 21:40
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.28%E -3.97%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.87%E -3.96%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 23:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.941%E -0.563%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 00:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 00:00
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 00:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%-0.1%2026-07-19 00:05
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-19 00:05
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-07-19 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-07-19 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-07-19 00:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-18 23:35
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-18 23:35
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-07-19 00:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-07-19 00:00