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Seattle Mariners v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-26 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 45.89%2.18fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%45.90%45.95%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.072.062.1550.25%48.34%48.54%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 54.11%1.85fair odd
EV +0.650%
Edge +0.349%
Kelly +0.756%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.10%54.05%54.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.761.8658.82%56.55%56.82%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Mariners (Local): 45.89%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 54.11%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.86, producing a positive expected value of +0.650%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -5.01%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.650%E +0.349%K +0.756%G +0.005%2.1%2026-08-25 20:09
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.72%E -1.28%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.51%E -0.832%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 18:13
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.51%E -0.832%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 18:13
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.51%E -0.832%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 18:14
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.34%E -0.624%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.60%E -1.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.34%E -0.624%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.60%E -1.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 19:29
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.60%E -1.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:29
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.85%E -3.37%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:18
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 18:13
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:19
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.55%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 20:19
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.47%E -2.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 20:03
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 20:19
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.10%E -1.96%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.76%E -2.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 18:49
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.01%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.76%E -2.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.76%E -2.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.76%E -2.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 20:20
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.55%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:13
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.01%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 20:19
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:13
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 20:18
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:13
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:14
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 20:03
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 20:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 20:03
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 20:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.68%E -4.36%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-25 19:09
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-25 19:04
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-08-25 20:24
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%9.9%2026-08-25 20:19