Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Seattle Mariners v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-26 20:11 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Seattle Mariners (Casa)

Previsione 45.87%2.18quota equa
EV -0.466%
Vantaggio -0.215%
Kelly -0.398%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%45.87%45.88%47.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.992.072.072.1750.25%48.21%48.31%46.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.13%1.85quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.813%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.88%54.13%54.12%54.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.771.771.8258.82%56.60%56.66%54.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Seattle Mariners (Casa): 45.87%; Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta): 54.13%. Per Seattle Mariners (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.18. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.17, con un valore atteso del -0.466%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.466%E -0.215%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.10%E -1.73%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 20:38
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.38%E -0.643%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.38%E -0.643%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 19:29
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.76%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.48%E -0.813%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 18:13
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.22%E -1.53%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.48%E -0.813%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 18:13
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.22%E -1.53%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.48%E -0.813%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 18:14
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 18:13
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:19
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:38
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:34
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.14%E -1.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 18:49
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 20:19
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 20:38
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:13
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.05%E -2.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:33
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.05%E -2.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.05%E -2.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 20:38
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 20:39
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 20:44
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 20:19
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 20:36
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 20:20
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:13
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 20:18
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:13
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:14
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:38
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.98%E -4.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.72%E -4.38%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.98%E -4.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 20:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-25 19:09
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-25 19:04
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%1.5%2026-08-25 21:14
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%9.9%2026-08-25 20:19
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 46.56%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.44%10.7%2026-08-25 20:44