Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v Philadelphia Phillies

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 9–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.04%47.81%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0652.63%50.14%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%51.96%52.19%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.52%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 47.87%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 52.13%. For Seattle Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.06, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.38%E -0.670%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 01:19
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.38%E -0.670%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 01:04
Caesars🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.38%E -0.670%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 01:29
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 01:24
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 23:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 00:24
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 22:35
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 23:49
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-25 01:19
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-25 01:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-24 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-24 23:54
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.82%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.65%E -3.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 00:54
theScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-25 00:29
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-24 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-25 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.22%E -4.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 22:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:34
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 01:24
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 01:34
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:54
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:00
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 00:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 00:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 00:29
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 00:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:38
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:19
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 16:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:34
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 01:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.22%E -4.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 01:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -8.08%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -3.05%E -1.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 01:39
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.08%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.26%E -4.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 23:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 01:39
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 01:38
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 01:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-08-25 01:39
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%0.9%2026-08-25 01:39
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-24 23:29
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-25 00:54
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-08-25 01:24
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.3%2026-08-25 00:14