Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-08-25 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 9–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 47.87%2.09odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.670%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%48.04%47.81%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.992.002.0652.63%50.14%50.00%48.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 52.13%1.92odd justa
EV -2.00%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%51.96%52.19%53.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.52%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 47.87%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 52.13%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.09. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.06, com valor esperado de -1.38%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.38%E -0.670%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 01:19
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.38%E -0.670%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 01:04
Caesars🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.38%E -0.670%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 01:29
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 01:24
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 23:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 00:24
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 22:35
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 23:49
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-25 01:19
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-25 01:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-24 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-24 23:54
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.82%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.65%E -3.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 00:54
theScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-25 00:29
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-24 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-25 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.22%E -4.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 22:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:34
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 01:24
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 01:34
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:54
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 00:00
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 00:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 00:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 00:29
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 00:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:38
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:19
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 16:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:34
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 01:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.22%E -4.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 01:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -8.08%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -3.05%E -1.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 01:39
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.08%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.26%E -4.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 23:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 01:39
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 01:38
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 01:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-08-25 01:39
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
ProphetX◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%0.9%2026-08-25 01:39
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-24 23:29
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-25 00:54
BetOpenly◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-08-25 01:24
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.3%2026-08-25 00:14