Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 01:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 48.18%2.08fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.32%48.05%49.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.972.0552.36%50.64%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 51.82%1.93fair odd
EV +0.530%
Edge +0.273%
Kelly +0.564%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.51%51.68%51.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.9455.56%54.12%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 48.18%; New York Yankees (Visit): 51.82%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.530%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -4.60%E -2.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV +0.530%E +0.273%K +0.564%G +0.003%2.1%2026-04-01 01:04
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 00:30
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.71%E -0.839%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 01:35
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.71%E -0.839%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:59
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.23%E -0.600%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 01:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.71%E -0.839%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 01:09
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 01:25
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 01:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 01:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 01:29
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 01:19
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.12%E -2.07%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.65%E -2.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:35
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:09
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:54
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:54
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 00:54
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 00:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 01:34
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 00:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-01 01:34
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-01 01:35
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-01 01:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-01 01:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-01 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-01 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-01 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-01 01:30
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-04-01 01:35
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-04-01 01:25