L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v New York Yankees

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 01:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 48.18%2.08cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.600%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.32%48.05%49.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.971.972.0552.36%50.64%50.76%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.82%1.93cote équitable
EV +0.530%
Avantage +0.273%
Kelly +0.564%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.51%51.68%51.95%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.851.851.9455.56%54.12%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -4.60%E -2.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV +0.530%E +0.273%K +0.564%G +0.003%2.1%2026-04-01 01:04
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 00:30
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.71%E -0.839%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 01:35
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.71%E -0.839%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 01:30
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:59
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.23%E -0.600%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 01:09
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.71%E -0.839%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 01:09
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 01:25
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 01:24
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 01:35
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 01:14
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 01:29
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 01:29
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 01:19
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:04
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.12%E -2.07%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.65%E -2.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:23
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:35
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:09
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 01:09
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:54
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:54
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:54
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.08%E -2.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:55
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 00:54
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 00:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.69%E -3.13%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 01:34
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 00:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-01 01:34
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-01 01:35
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-01 01:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-01 01:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-01 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-01 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-01 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-01 01:30
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-04-01 01:35
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-04-01 01:25