Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-02 20:11 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 55.81%1.79odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.691%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%55.94%55.86%57.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.92%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 44.19%2.26odd justa
EV +0.761%
Vantagem +0.334%
Kelly +0.595%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.28%44.06%44.14%45.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.182.2848.78%45.78%45.87%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.81%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 44.19%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.26. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.28, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.761%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV +0.761%E +0.334%K +0.595%G +0.005%3.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV +0.761%E +0.334%K +0.595%G +0.005%3.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:15
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.01%E -0.449%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 02:30
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.45%E -0.650%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.45%E -0.650%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.45%E -0.650%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:14
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 18:45
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 00:45
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:45
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 02:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:44
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:44
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:44
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 21:00
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 22:32
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:35
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 02:34
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 20:40
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:53
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:44
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:45
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 02:14
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -10.71%E -6.69%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:54
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:54
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:34
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:34
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:44
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:50
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:44
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:44
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.69%E -3.37%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 00:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 02:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 02:30
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:44
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.69%E -3.37%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:43
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:35
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 02:15
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.40%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 00:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 18:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 02:35
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-08-02 02:35
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-08-01 22:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%8.8%2026-08-02 00:30