Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-02 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 7–6 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 55.78%1.79odd justa
EV -0.715%
Vantagem -0.402%
Kelly -0.917%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%55.67%55.89%56.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.15%57.80%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 44.22%2.26odd justa
EV +0.384%
Vantagem +0.169%
Kelly +0.302%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.08%44.33%44.11%45.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.152.152.2748.78%46.46%46.51%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.78%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 44.22%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.26. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.27, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.384%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -4.06%E -2.36%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV +0.384%E +0.169%K +0.302%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-02 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.500%E -0.222%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 13:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.500%E -0.222%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 20:05
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.500%E -0.222%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.943%E -0.421%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 12:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -0.943%E -0.421%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.29%E -3.75%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.83%E -0.823%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:30
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.27%E -0.719%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 20:09
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 20:09
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:29
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 11:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.27%E -0.719%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.60%E -1.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.27%E -0.719%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.60%E -1.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 20:10
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.27%E -0.719%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.60%E -1.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.60%E -1.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.04%E -1.86%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.74%E -3.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.04%E -1.86%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 12:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.74%E -3.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.04%E -1.86%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.83%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.83%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 20:08
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 20:09
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:50
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.29%E -3.75%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 19:59
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:40
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:39
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:40
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.97%E -4.83%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -6.69%E -3.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 19:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -0.715%E -0.402%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:09
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.06%E -2.36%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 18:55
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 20:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.06%E -2.36%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:09
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:03
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-02 20:10
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 20:10
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 20:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-02 17:35
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-02 20:10
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-08-02 20:10
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-08-02 20:09