Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-02 20:11 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 55.81%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.691%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%55.94%55.86%57.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.92%58.82%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.19%2.26cote équitable
EV +0.761%
Avantage +0.334%
Kelly +0.595%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.28%44.06%44.14%45.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.182.182.2848.78%45.78%45.87%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Seattle Mariners (Local) : 55.81% ; Minnesota Twins (Visiteur) : 44.19%. Pour Minnesota Twins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.28, pour une espérance positive de +0.761%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV +0.761%E +0.334%K +0.595%G +0.005%3.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV +0.761%E +0.334%K +0.595%G +0.005%3.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:10
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:15
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.01%E -0.449%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 02:30
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.45%E -0.650%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.45%E -0.650%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.45%E -0.650%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:14
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 18:45
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 00:45
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:45
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 02:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:44
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:44
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:44
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 21:00
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 22:32
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:35
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 02:34
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.22%E -0.691%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 20:40
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:53
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:44
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:45
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 02:14
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -10.71%E -6.69%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:54
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:54
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:34
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:34
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:44
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:50
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:44
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:44
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.69%E -3.37%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 00:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 02:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 02:30
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:44
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.69%E -3.37%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:43
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:35
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 02:15
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.40%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 20:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 00:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-01 18:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 02:35
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-08-02 02:35
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-08-01 22:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%8.8%2026-08-02 00:30