Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 4–6 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 63.47%1.58fair odd
EV -0.993%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.50%63.51%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5670.42%66.80%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 36.53%2.74fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.092%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%36.50%36.49%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.632.8541.67%38.06%37.95%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 63.47%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 36.53%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -9.88%E -6.96%K -23.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +4.12%E +1.45%K +2.23%G +0.092%5.5%2026-09-24 23:00
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-25 01:32
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 01:40
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 01:40
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 01:40
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 01:39
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.36%E -0.503%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.72%E -0.641%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 01:40
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -1.72%E -0.641%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 21:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.09%E -0.780%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-25 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.09%E -0.780%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-25 01:20
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.45%E -0.919%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-25 01:00
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.82%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 01:19
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-25 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-24 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 21:15
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 21:15
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 21:14
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 21:15
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 01:40
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 21:24
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.993%E -0.636%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-25 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 21:14
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 21:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 21:25
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 01:40
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 22:04
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 23:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 21:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.24%E -6.46%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 01:40
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -5.38%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.11%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:15
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.11%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.47%E -2.53%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 21:15
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 21:15
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 21:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 21:45
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-25 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.97%E -5.50%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-25 01:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.97%E -5.50%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-25 01:29
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 01:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-25 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-25 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-25 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-25 01:35
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-24 21:20
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-24 21:15
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-09-25 01:40
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-09-25 01:40
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-09-25 01:40
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%3.3%2026-09-25 01:39